World: Here is the AP lead.
|The war in Iraq has become a "cause celebre" for Islamic extremists, breeding deep resentment of the U.S. that probably will get worse before it gets better, federal intelligence analysts conclude in a report at odds with President Bush's portrayal of a world growing safer.|
Here is the entire paragraph from the report.
|The Iraq conflict has become the “cause celebre” for jihadists, breeding a deep
resentment of US involvement in the Muslim world and cultivating supporters for
the global jihadist movement. Should jihadists leaving Iraq perceive themselves,
and be perceived, to have failed, we judge fewer fighters will be inspired to carry
on the fight.|
Somolia was their first win and Iraq has become the big prize.
Four underlying factors are fueling the spread of the jihadist movement: (1)
Entrenched grievances, such as corruption, injustice, and fear of Western
domination, leading to anger, humiliation, and a sense of powerlessness; (2) the
Iraq “jihad;” (3) the slow pace of real and sustained economic, social, and
political reforms in many Muslim majority nations; and (4) pervasive anti-US
sentiment among most Muslims—all of which jihadists exploit.
Basically the last 40+ years can be "exploited" for jihad gain, nothing new here. As the world has gotten more modern, the talent pool for jihadists has gotten larger and easier to recruit.
Concomitant vulnerabilities in the jihadist movement have emerged that, if fully exposed and exploited, could begin to slow the spread of the movement. They include
dependence on the continuation of Muslim-related conflicts, the limited appeal of the
jihadists’ radical ideology, the emergence of respected voices of moderation, and
criticism of the violent tactics employed against mostly Muslim citizens.|
This could take awhile and to stop the jihadists you would have to take care of Afghanistan, Iraq, Thailand, Philippines, Chechnya and various groups that want to go after France, Spain, UK, Northern Africa, Somolia, other countries in the middle east, Nigeria and Suda. Get that all settled and we are good to go for the moderates.
The jihadists’ greatest vulnerability is that their ultimate political solution—an
ultra-conservative interpretation of shari’a-based governance spanning the
Muslim world—is unpopular with the vast majority of Muslims. Exposing the
religious and political straitjacket that is implied by the jihadists’ propaganda
would help to divide them from the audiences they seek to persuade.
You would think, but Sharia law in not that vastly unpopular if introduced in certain places. Nearly everyone knows the goal of jihadists and their dream empire.
Recent condemnations of violence and extremist religious interpretations by a few
notable Muslim clerics signal a trend that could facilitate the growth of a
constructive alternative to jihadist ideology: peaceful political activism. This also
could lead to the consistent and dynamic participation of broader Muslim
communities in rejecting violence, reducing the ability of radicals to capitalize on
passive community support. In this way, the Muslim mainstream emerges as the
most powerful weapon in the war on terror.
Considering certain "mainstream" groups like Muslim Council of Britain and others have tried to use the threat of terrorist acts to push their own and in some cases the same goal as the jihadists, I highly doubt this nonsense. The playing of the victim card and idiotic agreement of self-censorship as the mozart play today blunts any gain of a mainstream Muslim push to be a strong alternative to the jihadists. As of right now, the moderates are being overwhelmed by the more strident message.
This NIE report is incredibly naive BTW. If the idea by anyone that pulling out of Iraq and cutting off Israel by the knees(example)
will slow down or kill off the terrorist movement that has been growing over the last couple of decades and has only been accelerated(not created) by Iraq you would be very wrong.
If Iraq wasn't the cause celebre, then it would Afghanistan, if it wasn't Afghanistan it would be something else. This is not something that popped up in 2003, it has been there for decades growing and now moving at a rapid rate. Having a hornet's nest in your backyard and thinking you can live with it without any harm coming to you is a learning the lesson the hard way.